Meta Monday – September Week 2

Welcome to Meta Monday, presented by NotoriousGHP.
The following people made this article possible:   

Susuexp
Quitschi
Mancio1982
Telemokos
ArtificierProdigy
Injulander
Grandar
Chriseay


As always, if you want to contribute data and have your name featured in the article, make sure to submit your games to this form. If your opponent is on an off-meta deck, please specify some pieces to their deck. If you have a large data set (Over 50 games), you can DM it to /u/NotoriousGHP on Reddit, [TRS] NotoriousGHP#6765 on discord, or email me at [email protected]

The quality of the metagame breakdown depends entirely on how many submissions we get. These are our significant thresholds:

0-222 games – 
I am not confident in the data we have, the quality of analysis will deteriorate greatly.
222-285 games – I am confident in the value of our data, the articles will function perfectly normal in capacity.
286-399 games – The metagame breakdown will include any tier 4 lists I have enough data for.
400+ games – The sample size is big enough for more precise rounding.

This week we have a sample of 519 games.

TIER BREAKDOWN:

Tier 0:
Skycrag Aggro: 15.03%

Tier 1:
Argenport Midrange: 11.95%

Tier 1.5:
Praxis Midrange: 8.29%
Jennev Peaks: 7.13%

Tier 2:
Xenan Midrange: 5.97%

Tier 2.5:
Combrei Midrange: 4.82%
Icaria Blue: 4.43%
Stonescar: 4.24%

Tier 3:
Skycrag Cradle: 3.85%
Feln Control: 3.08%
Hooru Midrange: 2.5%
Mono Fire: 2.12%

Tier 4:
Rakano Midrange: 1.73%
Hooru Control: 1.54%
Winchest: 1.35%
Argenport Control: 1.16%

Metagame Breakdown:


After another great sample size this week, we unfortunately need to break out the tier 0 category once again! For those unfamiliar, this category is achieved by making up at least 15% of the sample, typically any deck hitting this threshold has been whacked with the nerf bat so it’s time to count your Champions of Fury because that’s how this works, right? To no one’s surprise, Skycrag is making up this category as a deck that has is extremely strong while also being a quick deck for those players who just want to get their dailies in. I don’t see any reason for Skycrag’s popularity to dip anytime soon without the new set or nerfs, and so it is time to hail Lord Wump the Snowy, long may he reign.


Looking into tier 1, we see a shocker from last week in Argenport Midrange being the only deck in this category. Although Argenport has typically put up strong performances each week, I did not expect to see this deck gain this much popularity. I suspect this is due to how it lines up against most Time midrange decks, the popular decks of last week. We aren’t seeing a massive shift in the Time decks from last week, with Combrei staying in tier 1.5 while the others just took a couple percentage hits dropping them to tier 2. Regardless of popularity shift, they are all still viable ladder choices. We all see Jennev Peaks picking up some traction once again to no one’s surprise. A strong, yet versatile archetype that’s fun to play and gets to play with Garden of Omens? Yeah, this is a shock to the system.


In tier 2 we see the earlier mentioned Combrei midrange and Xenan Midrange archetypes dropping down a little, joined this week by the slowly falling Stonescar. As the meta game gets more and more populated by Skycrag, it seems Stonescar continues to directly fall, despite its good matchups finding success against a lot of the Time midrange variants. With this in mind, I think the drop in Stonescar is not a permanent thing, although it can have some struggles with the top decks in Skycrag and Jennev, it’s still, an overall, strong choice.


Quickly going over the final tiers, its clear to me all the decks here belong in tier 3 or below, they’re weaker than the top decks but are still fine choices on the ladder. With that in mind, I don’t see them shifting in popularity or power level any time soon. The only notable thing is the slight drop for Skycrag Control, a deck we’ve been monitoring for awhile. I still think this deck is quite good, just isn’t seeing the play that it may deserve.


Archetype Analysis – Should Skycrag be nerfed?


Although I have no confirmation on if there is a correlation, I’ve often noticed decks that reach tier 0 in Meta Monday often end up receiving a nerf shortly after. In recent times, I’m referencing Rakano Midrange and Stonescar. With that in mind, I am left wondering if Skycrag will meet the hammer, and so I’d like to go over if I believe it should be.



The short answer, is “NO”. I don’t believe Skycrag needs a nerf and here’s why: Skycrag is very beatable, and not particularly difficult to target. We have a ton of great interactive spells such as Defiance, Torch, Snowball, Permafrost and that’s only the one cost interaction I can think of immediately. Last week we saw Time midrange perform well, which is also known for having a strong matchup against Skycrag due to Sandstorm Titan and Saber-Tooth Prideleader.


I do believe if we had more tournaments, Skycrag wouldn’t perform as well as it is lead on to be currently and so I do not feel like its a deck to worry about. If we were to target something, I’d suggest Champion of Fury, although most changes to this card would likely end in it becoming unplayable.

This has been NotoriousGHP with Meta Monday.

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3 Comments » for Meta Monday – September Week 2
  1. Jacob Bates says:

    No ranking for the current Evenport Svetya ramp deck making its rounds in diamond and masters? I’ve played against that deck in about 25% of my games in diamond.

  2. JuggyBrodeltein says:

    No ranking for the current Evenport Svetya ramp deck making its rounds in diamond and masters? I’ve played against that deck in about 25% of my games in diamond.

  3. SlimJim says:

    This might be the best meta in a while. Agrro, mid-range, combo, and control decks all have a place. Sure, Skycrag dominates, but as you pointed out, people can and do beat it. I haven’t had this much fun playing Eternal since the Dusk Road.

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