This is Isotropic presenting Meta Monday.
The following people made this article possible:
It has come to my attention that a lot of people confuse me with Isomorphic. So for the sake of clarity, I will be going by Isotropic in the future to reduce misunderstandings.
As always, if you want your name in the article, make sure to submit your games to our form (which you can find by clicking here). If you have a large data set (over 50 games), you can DM it to /u/IsotropicEternal on Reddit or to [TRS] Isotropic#0801 on discord. If you want to talk about your experiences with the metagame, please join the TRS discord.
Our sample size is smaller this week than it was last week, we’re sitting at 212 games submitted. If you want to help us out with this project, make sure that you submit your games. At this point, the lack of data is cutting into our Tier 3 data. I have two set standards for the way I collect data. First, decks that have at least 5 games in the dataset are well enough represented to include. Second, decks that have at least 2% representation in the data are notably impactful to the metagame. When I have 230+ games to use, this isn’t a problem and is a very useful tool for long-term organization and short-term selection. But with a dataset this small, I am only confident in including decks with a 2.5% representation or above. This is very harmful to long term data.
As always, the cutoffs for tiers are completely arbitrary, but this is how I define them:
(Tier 0 – Overwhelmingly popular, this is the deck you’re most likely going to face on ladder.)
Tier 1 – Very popular, a sizable minority of your ladder games will be against Tier 1 lists.
Tier 2 – Popular decks that you should keep in mind.
Tier 3 – Obscure decks that you’re unlikely to run across.
(Tier 4 – Very rare decks, only one person could be playing them.)
Please note that the lists I linked here are not the definitive lists by any measure. In the past few weeks I’ve tried to include as many tournament decks or otherwise definitive versions as possible, but due to the Homecoming campaign, a lot of the decks are just decks that I like.
With the release of Homecoming, we saw a bit of a shakeup in the metagame. FJS and Jennev Peaks are still on top of the pile, but now they have direct competitors. Hooru Midrange has been putting up a good fight since last week, and just got stronger with Homecoming, it’s definitely the top contender to replace FJS right now. I’m personally very happy that such a deck exists. Xenan Midrange rocketed from relative obscurity to popularity this week no doubt due to how massive Desecrate is for the deck.
In tier 2, we have Rakano Aggro with a dwindling playerbase. This deck can put up a fight, but is just not good enough where it matters, so it’s reasonable that it’s falling a bit in playerbase. Combrei Ramp has been keeping steady. Haunted Highway fluctuates wildly on a weekly basis, so seeing it at 4% isn’t a shock to anyone. The interesting part about tier 2 is the fact that Ixtun Control and Ixtun Midrange would be popular enough to make up a tier 1 deck, however, they are so split in tunings that the decks are just too different to merge into one category. When the best Ixtun deck is found, it’s certain to rocket to tier 1 and drown out the weaker one. But this requires a lot of experimentation as a community, so we will see this battle play out over the next few weeks.
Tier 3 is also not shocking. TJP Control has been a fringe deck, same with Argenport and Kerendon Midrange. Skycrag Aggro has plummeted in popularity, but seeing as the same thing happened to Rakano Aggro, it’s not very surprising. Overall, it’s not a great deck compared to the various other lists out there, and it’s only real use is having games go by relatively fast for laddering purposes.
Overall, with Xenan Midrange, Hooru Midrange, and Ixtun Vargo promising to create a new Tier 1, I am very excited to see how the meta of Homecoming shapes out. Seeing FJS dip below 10% has been a pipe dream for a while, but it’s seeming like that might be happening. Although FJS had a few more players this week than last week, the overall metagame trends are not looking that great for it. But we will have to see whether or not it will remain at the top, or if it will get knocked down by the new contenders.
Meta-Metagame Monthly – April
Last month, we had the MMM as a separate article, but I’ll include it with the main article in the future. Since I’m trying to make Meta Monday into a sort of omnibus meta tracker, it’s just reasonable to not split up these articles. With that out of the way, let’s take a look at some charts.
First off, let’s take a look at all the trends through March. I’m including decks that had at least a 1% or above representation throughout the month.
This chart is a bit convoluted, although it’s my favorite way to represent the data about the metagame, so let’s have a look at some cleaner data.
This is a lot cleaner, and simply shows how well the decks performed on a week by week basis. But it has a lot of irrelevant data, so let’s make a chart about decks that are currently popular just to see how they got there.
This is a lot less data, but paints a clearer picture of the relevant information. The one thing to note is that the Ixtun Control and Ixtun midrange trendlines overlap, so they are hard to see, but otherwise, this paints a pretty legible picture of how we got to the current metagame. But who cares about relevant information and legibility when we can just take two months of Metagame Breakdown and combine them into a glorious monstrosity.
Good luck trying to decipher this thing.
This has been Isotropic with Meta Monday.