Welcome to Meta Monday, presented by NotoriousGHP.
The following people made this article possible:
As always, if you want to contribute data and have your name featured in the article, make sure to submit your games to this form. If your opponent is on an off-meta deck, please specify some pieces to their deck. If you have a large data set (Over 50 games), you can DM it to /u/NotoriousGHP on Reddit, [TRS] NotoriousGHP#6765 on discord, or email me at [email protected]
The quality of the metagame breakdown depends entirely on how many submissions we get, these are our significant thresholds.
0-222 games – I am not confident in the data we have, the quality of analysis will deteriorate greatly.
222-285 games – I am confident in the value of our data, the articles will function perfectly normal in capacity.
286-399 games – The metagame breakdown will include any tier 4 lists i have enough data for.
400+ games – The sample size is big enough for more precise rounding.
This week we have a sample of 244 games.
META GAME BREAKDOWN:
Tier 0: – This deck defines the entire meta game
Tier 1: – A sizeable minority of ladder games will be against these lists
Tier 1.5: – Meta defining lists that are not quite dominant to be tier 1
Tier 2: – Popular decks that you should keep in mind
Tier 2.5: – Relevant decks that are less popular then tier 2 decks
Tier 3: – Obscure decks that you’re fairly unlikely to run across:
Tier 4: – Everything below tier 3
With the newest balance patch hitting, the meta is quite all over the place while players adjust to the changes, causing us to not have a single tier 1 deck. Withstanding two nerfs, Stonescar still lives on as our most popular deck, but only by a sample of one game. Its competitors are close behind in Icaria Blue and Rakano Midrange. Both of these decks received buffs, via Icaria, bringing both decks up from a very small representation of the field to almost 10%. With Rakano Midrange taking down the first ETS of the balance patch, I only expect the play rate to increase for Rakano and its branch off decks. We also see a slight rise in Skycrag Aggro, a powerful deck to help rank up at the end of the season, alongside returning Argenport Midrange receiving a buff in Bartholo.
Plummeting from tier 1.5, we see the freshly nerfed Even decks falling completely off the tier list and back into the deck building screen, as both Feln and Xenan relied on recurring Evenhanded Golem, it’s time to redesign. Hooru Midrange also took a surprising drop all the way down to tier 3, which is suspect as one of its tougher matchups in Stonescar took a nerf.
Moving into tier 2 we see Hooru Control moving up a tier, alongside a harshly nerfed Praxis Pledge finding a new home in tier 2. This change isn’t surprising, as Pledge took multiple nerfs this patch but is definitely still viable with a tough matchup in Stonescar taking a hit as well. I’m very interested to see how this deck performs moving forward. The one other change to tier 2, is Mono Shadow, making up only 2 of our 244 games, Mono Shadow has fallen completely off the radar this week and with the hit to Vara occurring, I’m not sure this deck will ever return unless another change helps it out.
Closing out our Meta Analysis, tier 2.5 and 3 are made up of familiar faces in Rats, FJS, Jennev peaks but are joined by a returning? Rakano Aggro, and Feln Midrange. Rats, FJS and Jennev have all been around these tier’s for a while, strong decks but no longer dominate that still put up results, but Rakano aggro and Feln Midrange have me puzzled. Rakano Aggro jumped into this week’s Data set as a surprise appearance, likely due to some players moving away from Stonescar, and wanting to be faster than the Sediti + Icaria builds of Rakano Midrange. I’m not a big fan of this archetype in general, and I think I prefer Rakano Midrange heavily, but I can definitely see this deck sticking around at this popularity level for a while. On the other hand, I’m not even sure what Feln Midrange is at this point, so I’m looking forward to seeing how players have decided to build this deck. Is it Elves? A more proactive Feln Control maybe? It really is hard to tell, but if Feln is making a comeback, there are plenty of top-tier players and teams that will be exploring it. There is no denying the power that can be found in the Feln combination, but is it enough to topple what we have right now?
Eternal Tournament Series:
This week’s ETS had quite the diverse top 8. But, with only 22 players showing up to battle, it makes it hard to derive conclusions from this. Erik finally got his win this season, after many second places finishes, taking it down with Rakano Midrange. Mouche continues to finish in the top with Auralian Rats, a deck that we spoke about last week. There is one deck this week I’d like to talk about, that I think could be a real contender moving forward:
Deck Spotlight – Praxis Midrange
The man who claims to be washed up, Seek Power Gaming’s Paradox, took a top 8 slot with Praxis Midrange. This build moves away from the freshly nerfed Pledge synergies, and instead plays cards such as Xenan initiation, Dawn Walker and Xumucan to grind out the opponents. A mostly Mono- Time strategy, this deck has a lot of the tools to take down the returning flying brigade in Sediti and Icaria. Paradox claims the deck could still use work, but I think this may be the way to play Praxis moving forward.
Predictions for next week:
Fresh off the balance patch, Expedition debuts tomorrow and the ETS invitational takes place this coming weekend. I’ll be competing, alongside 30 other great players, and ThePlatypusKing for cash, series points and a slot in the ETS World Championship. With lower player numbers this season, there will be some new faces who may show up big time in this event. We’ve already seen Rakano Midrange and other Icaria decks show promise, and I expect a large amount of both Rakano Midrange and Icaria Blue moving forward, but I think the winner of this event will either be playing the best Sediti deck, or the best deck against Sediti decks, which I am not sure of yet. The metagame is in flux, and I also expect to see some unfamiliar decks pop up, maybe more of Auralian Scream or Argenport Paladins, who knows? It’s a tough week to predict, and I can’t wait to see how it plays out.
That’s all for this week’s installment of Meta Monday, thanks for reading and I hope you enjoyed!
This has been NotoriousGHP, with Meta Monday.
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